Happy Valley · 2020-04-22
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-22 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. BEAUTY AMIGO, ridden by K C Leung and trained by J Moore, won by 1-1/2, with GOLDEN DASH second and DANCING FIGHTER third. The 1.8 favourite DANCING FIGHTER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY AMIGO B 1.11.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 7 | 6.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | DANCING FIGHTER SR/TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 2 | 1.8 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | HOME MADE B/XB/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 202.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | PING HAI GALAXY C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 9 | 6.1 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | STAY CHILL T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 11 | 338.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | AMAZING KIWI B/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | CHAMP PATROL V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 8 | 90.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SUNNY LAD B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 66.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER JUNIOR V/TT H W Lai · T P Yung | H W Lai | T P Yung | 4 | 89.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DANCING FIGHTER | 41.8% | 2.39 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | AMAZING KIWI | 14.5% | 6.90 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | PING HAI GALAXY | 13.3% | 7.50 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 10.3% | 9.70 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | GOLDEN DASH | 9.4% | 10.65 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 5.0% | 20.06 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | HOME MADE | 1.7% | 59.69 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | SUNNY LAD | 1.6% | 64.00 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER JUNIOR | 0.9% | 105.98 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | CHAMP PATROL | 0.8% | 123.57 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | STAY CHILL | 0.7% | 144.85 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 69
PLACE
1 13
2 20
3 16
QUINELLA
2,3 198.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 29
1,3 26.5
2,3 49.5
TIERCE
3,2,1 904
TRIO
1,2,3 87
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 1,577
QUARTET
3,2,1,10 31,288
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 30
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
10/2 54.5
10/3 378