Happy Valley · 2020-04-22
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 4.2 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | KING'S MAN Closed strongly V N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 8 | 18.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 41.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | REGENCY GEM B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | INVALUABLE Closed strongly B C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 5 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 1 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUNNY POWER Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 7.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WILLFUL CP H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 100.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE Led early B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 6.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CHARITY GRAND B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 12 | 6.7 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ELECTRIC LIGHTNING, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D E Ferraris, won by HD, with KING'S MAN second and SWOT TROOPERS WIND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | INVALUABLE | 18.2% | 5.49 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | CHARITY GRAND | 16.1% | 6.20 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING | 15.5% | 6.47 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 11.5% | 8.69 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER | 10.2% | 9.79 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE | 6.7% | 14.83 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | SUNNY POWER | 6.7% | 14.87 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC | 6.2% | 16.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY | 3.9% | 25.51 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | KING'S MAN | 2.6% | 37.80 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 1.2% | 83.03 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | WILLFUL | 1.0% | 96.79 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 42
PLACE
1 47.5
8 104.5
9 16.5
QUINELLA
1,9 274
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 1,126
1,9 111.5
8,9 366.5
TIERCE
9,1,8 22,922
TRIO
1,8,9 5,671
FIRST 4
1,6,8,9 8,798
QUARTET
9,1,8,6 227,770
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 26
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
5/1 171.5
5/9 526