Happy Valley · 2020-04-22
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. TANGMERE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C Fownes, won by 2-3/4, with BLOOMING SPIRIT second and SUMSTREETSUMWHERE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TANGMERE Closed strongly TT 1.40.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 4 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | BLOOMING SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE H/V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 9.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | PRETTY BAUHINIA Closed strongly B/TT1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CHARITY WINGS Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 11 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B1 C Schofield · K W Lui | C Schofield | K W Lui | 8 | 7.8 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | HAPPY ICHIBAN M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 1 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY WIN WIN Closed strongly V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 12 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SNOW AIRJET TT H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.7 | 13 |
| 10 | 11 | JOY N FUN LEGEND Closed strongly B/H1/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 183.0 | 20-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | EVER STRONG Led early P C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 5 | 55.0 | 21-3/4 |
| — | 12 | GALAXY EMPEROR CP/H/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.2 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TANGMERE | 33.4% | 3.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 18.2% | 5.50 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | CHARITY WINGS | 8.5% | 11.72 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 8.0% | 12.46 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 7.5% | 13.30 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | SNOW AIRJET | 6.4% | 15.64 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | EVER STRONG | 5.4% | 18.64 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 5.2% | 19.23 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 3.6% | 28.14 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 3.1% | 32.50 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 0.8% | 127.46 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 35
PLACE
2 15.5
5 27.5
6 25
QUINELLA
2,6 129.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 81.5
2,6 43.5
5,6 121.5
TIERCE
2,6,5 1,547
TRIO
2,5,6 367
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 625
QUARTET
2,6,5,4 9,339
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 24
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
8/2 1,376.5
8/6 428