Sha Tin · 2020-05-27
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-27 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. THOU SHALL SING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with PEARL CHAMPION second and ADONIS third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | THOU SHALL SING B 1.08.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 3.4 | N |
| 2 | 3 | PEARL CHAMPION B V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 2 | 7.9 | N |
| 3 | 12 | ADONIS H/P2 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 6 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | DEMONS ROCK B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 5.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | JADE THEATRE B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 8.5 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | VIVA COUNCIL V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 11 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FEARLESS FIRE B C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 37.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND B/H C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 4 | 28.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | MASTERWORK H-/B1 N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 16.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE B T H So · R Gibson | T H So | R Gibson | 8 | 31.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ANONYMA B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 9 | 226.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | GOOD LUCK MONEY XB H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 10 | 59.0 | 18-1/4 |
| — | 0 | EXCEL DELIGHT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DEMONS ROCK | 21.5% | 4.64 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND | 14.1% | 7.09 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | ADONIS | 13.3% | 7.54 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | PEARL CHAMPION | 11.7% | 8.56 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | THOU SHALL SING | 11.5% | 8.70 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | JADE THEATRE | 7.9% | 12.71 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | FEARLESS FIRE | 5.1% | 19.52 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | VIVA COUNCIL | 4.9% | 20.27 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE | 4.4% | 22.97 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | MASTERWORK | 2.4% | 41.03 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | GOOD LUCK MONEY | 2.1% | 46.58 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | ANONYMA | 1.1% | 94.77 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 34.5
PLACE
3 26
7 14
12 17
QUINELLA
3,7 165
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 70.5
3,12 65
7,12 32.5
TIERCE
7,3,12 1,656
TRIO
3,7,12 239
FIRST 4
3,7,11,12 310
QUARTET
7,3,12,11 8,682
2ND DOUBLE
2/3 91
2/7 339
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 21
A2 —