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Sha Tin · 2020-05-27

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.31
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT 1.38.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz 2 3.6 1/2
2 0 JADE FORTUNE Closed strongly B Z Purton · K L Man 1 3.0 1/2
3 0 STARLIT KNIGHT Led early B2 C Wong · Y S Tsui 11 85.0 2-1/2
4 0 RIGHTEOUS MATE Closed strongly M F Poon · A T Millard 5 33.0 3
5 0 CHUNG WAH SPIRIT B-/P2/TT N Callan · C H Yip 8 8.4 5-1/4
6 0 DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly B1 M L Yeung · C Fownes 6 316.0 5-3/4
7 0 HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B/H K C Leung · W Y So 3 16.0 6
8 0 THIS ONE'S FOR YOU Closed strongly B A Hamelin · K W Lui 7 8.1 6-1/2
9 0 GENERAL DINO B B Shinn · D E Ferraris 9 89.0 7-3/4
10 0 SMILING CITY P C L Chau · D J Whyte 13 6.7 9
11 0 SUPER BULLET Closed strongly B/TT1 T H So · P O'Sullivan 4 257.0 9-3/4
12 0 KELMIMI WINS P2/TT V Borges · J Moore 10 23.0 10-1/2
13 0 POLYMER LUCK B C Y Ho · K H Ting 14 159.0 12-1/4
14 0 MEGATRON B/TT H N Wong · P F Yiu 12 24.0 14-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-27 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. PARTY EVERYDAY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with JADE FORTUNE second and STARLIT KNIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite JADE FORTUNE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PARTY EVERYDAY—2. JADE FORTUNE+0.5L3. STARLIT KNIGHT+2.5L4. RIGHTEOUS MATE+3L5. CHUNG WAH SPIRIT+5.25L6. DOUBLE TAKE+5.75L7. HANG'S DECISION+6L8. THIS ONE'S FOR YOU+6.5L9. GENERAL DINO+7.75L10. SMILING CITY+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick PARTY EVERYDAY (27.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 27.4% 3.65 1
2 0 JADE FORTUNE 24.4% 4.10 2
3 0 THIS ONE'S FOR YOU 13.3% 7.53 8
4 0 SMILING CITY 10.0% 10.01 10
5 0 RIGHTEOUS MATE 5.0% 19.97 4
6 0 STARLIT KNIGHT 4.5% 22.08 3
7 0 MEGATRON 4.0% 25.23 14
8 0 KELMIMI WINS 2.3% 42.85 12
9 0 CHUNG WAH SPIRIT 2.3% 42.85 5
10 0 HANG'S DECISION 1.8% 54.43 7
11 0 GENERAL DINO 1.6% 63.26 9
12 0 POLYMER LUCK 1.4% 71.78 13
13 0 SUPER BULLET 1.0% 99.01 11
14 0 DOUBLE TAKE 1.0% 101.12 6
PARTY EVERYDAY — wonJADE FORTUNETHIS ONE'S FOR YOUSMILING CITYRIGHTEOUS MATESTARLIT KNIGHTMEGATRONKELMIMI WINSCHUNG WAH SPIRITHANG'S DECISIONGENERAL DINOPOLYMER LUCKSUPER BULLETDOUBLE TAKE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 36

PLACE

2 13

10 15

12 142.5

QUINELLA

2,10 56

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 25.5

2,12 316

10,12 313.5

TIERCE

10,2,12 2,718

TRIO

2,10,12 815

FIRST 4

2,6,10,12 2,621

QUARTET

10,2,12,6 41,734

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,8/2,10,12 117,090

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 16.5

6TH DOUBLE

6/2 66.5

6/10 259.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,8,12/3,6,8/Any Combination 45,897