沙田 · 2020-05-27
第 7場
2020-05-27沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的PARTY EVERYDAY勝出，贏出1/2。JADE FORTUNE獲得亞軍；STARLIT KNIGHT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門JADE FORTUNE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 H/TT 1.38.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | JADE FORTUNE 後段發力 B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | STARLIT KNIGHT 早段領放 B2 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 85.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | RIGHTEOUS MATE 後段發力 M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 5 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT B-/P2/TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 8 | 8.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | DOUBLE TAKE 後段發力 B1 M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 316.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | HANG'S DECISION 後段發力 B/H K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU 後段發力 B A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 7 | 8.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | GENERAL DINO B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 9 | 89.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SMILING CITY P C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 6.7 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPER BULLET 後段發力 B/TT1 T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 257.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | KELMIMI WINS P2/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 10 | 23.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | POLYMER LUCK B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 14 | 159.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | MEGATRON B/TT H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 12 | 24.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 27.4% | 3.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | JADE FORTUNE | 24.4% | 4.10 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU | 13.3% | 7.53 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | SMILING CITY | 10.0% | 10.01 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | RIGHTEOUS MATE | 5.0% | 19.97 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 4.5% | 22.08 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | MEGATRON | 4.0% | 25.23 | 14 |
| 8 | 13 | KELMIMI WINS | 2.3% | 42.85 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 2.3% | 42.85 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.8% | 54.43 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | GENERAL DINO | 1.6% | 63.26 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | POLYMER LUCK | 1.4% | 71.78 | 13 |
| 13 | 5 | SUPER BULLET | 1.0% | 99.01 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | DOUBLE TAKE | 1.0% | 101.12 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 36
PLACE
2 13
10 15
12 142.5
QUINELLA
2,10 56
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 25.5
2,12 316
10,12 313.5
TIERCE
10,2,12 2,718
TRIO
2,10,12 815
FIRST 4
2,6,10,12 2,621
QUARTET
10,2,12,6 41,734
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,8/2,10,12 117,090
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/2 66.5
6/10 259.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,8,12/3,6,8/Any Combination 45,897