沙田 · 2020-05-27
第 9場
2020-05-27沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由Z Purton策騎、C Fownes訓練的ENFOLDING勝出，贏出HD。TOUCH OF LUCK獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA ARGENT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.8倍大熱門TOUCH OF LUCK跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ENFOLDING 後段發力 V 1.37.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 14 | 6.6 | HD |
| 2 | 7 | TOUCH OF LUCK 後段發力 CP V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 3 | 4.8 | HD |
| 3 | 13 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT 早段領放 H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | N |
| 4 | 12 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR 後段發力 B K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 12 | 8.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 B- C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 1 | 9.4 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | RICKFIELD 後段發力 XB C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 2 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | PING HAI TREASURE P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 6.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | VOLPINO 後段發力 H/XB/TT H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 10 | 31.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 8 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | OWNERS' STAR B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 7 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | UNITE SPIRIT XB M F Poon · D E Ferraris | M F Poon | D E Ferraris | 11 | 6.6 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | TURIN REDSTAR CP/TT C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 9 | 24.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | LA YAKFI TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 13 | 42.0 | 19-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | FUN LEGEND B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 4 | 213.0 | 21-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ENFOLDING | 15.3% | 6.54 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | UNITE SPIRIT | 13.1% | 7.61 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | PING HAI TREASURE | 11.1% | 9.00 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 10.6% | 9.44 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | OWNERS' STAR | 8.4% | 11.95 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | GREAT TREASURE | 7.9% | 12.65 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 7.5% | 13.35 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 6.8% | 14.73 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | TURIN REDSTAR | 6.3% | 15.85 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT | 4.4% | 22.74 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | LA YAKFI | 3.1% | 32.33 | 13 |
| 12 | 8 | VOLPINO | 2.7% | 36.72 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | RICKFIELD | 2.1% | 46.80 | 6 |
| 14 | 5 | FUN LEGEND | 0.6% | 156.14 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 66.5
PLACE
7 17.5
9 25.5
13 41
QUINELLA
7,9 165.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 70.5
7,13 118
9,13 168
TIERCE
9,7,13 4,411
TRIO
7,9,13 709
FIRST 4
7,9,12,13 1,670
QUARTET
9,7,13,12 32,571
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 34
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,12/7,9,13 506,139
8TH DOUBLE
5/7 59.5
5/9 622.5
SIX UP
1,3/4,8/6,8/2,10/5,12/7,9 8,806
3/8/6/10/5/9 143,793
2 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
10/5/7 120
10/5/9 1,322