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Sha Tin · 2020-05-27

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.37.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ENFOLDING Closed strongly V 1.37.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C Fownes 14 6.6 HD
2 0 TOUCH OF LUCK Closed strongly CP V Borges · J Moore 3 4.8 HD
3 0 CALIFORNIA ARGENT Led early H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz 6 11.0 N
4 0 LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B K C Leung · D E Ferraris 12 8.5 3
5 0 GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly B- C Y Ho · Y S Tsui 1 9.4 4
6 0 RICKFIELD Closed strongly XB C L Chau · A T Millard 2 35.0 4-1/2
7 0 PING HAI TREASURE P A Hamelin · J Size 5 6.9 5-1/4
8 0 VOLPINO Closed strongly H/XB/TT H N Wong · T P Yung 10 31.0 6
9 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES XB C Schofield · D J Whyte 8 19.0 6-1/4
10 0 OWNERS' STAR B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum 7 14.0 6-3/4
11 0 UNITE SPIRIT XB M F Poon · D E Ferraris 11 6.6 7-1/4
12 0 TURIN REDSTAR CP/TT C Wong · L Ho 9 24.0 15-1/2
13 0 LA YAKFI TT K Teetan · C S Shum 13 42.0 19-1/4
14 0 FUN LEGEND B Shinn · R Gibson 4 213.0 21-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-27 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ENFOLDING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with TOUCH OF LUCK second and CALIFORNIA ARGENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite TOUCH OF LUCK finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ENFOLDING—2. TOUCH OF LUCK+0.2L3. CALIFORNIA ARGENT+0.05L4. LONDON LUCKYSTAR+3L5. GREAT TREASURE+4L6. RICKFIELD+4.5L7. PING HAI TREASURE+5.25L8. VOLPINO+6L9. GAMEPLAYER TIMES+6.25L10. OWNERS' STAR+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick ENFOLDING (15.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ENFOLDING 15.3% 6.54 1
2 0 UNITE SPIRIT 13.1% 7.61 11
3 0 PING HAI TREASURE 11.1% 9.00 7
4 0 TOUCH OF LUCK 10.6% 9.44 2
5 0 OWNERS' STAR 8.4% 11.95 10
6 0 GREAT TREASURE 7.9% 12.65 5
7 0 LONDON LUCKYSTAR 7.5% 13.35 4
8 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES 6.8% 14.73 9
9 0 TURIN REDSTAR 6.3% 15.85 12
10 0 CALIFORNIA ARGENT 4.4% 22.74 3
11 0 LA YAKFI 3.1% 32.33 13
12 0 VOLPINO 2.7% 36.72 8
13 0 RICKFIELD 2.1% 46.80 6
14 0 FUN LEGEND 0.6% 156.14 14
ENFOLDING — wonUNITE SPIRITPING HAI TREASURETOUCH OF LUCKOWNERS' STARGREAT TREASURELONDON LUCKYSTARGAMEPLAYER TIMESTURIN REDSTARCALIFORNIA ARGENTLA YAKFIVOLPINORICKFIELDFUN LEGEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 66.5

PLACE

7 17.5

9 25.5

13 41

QUINELLA

7,9 165.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,9 70.5

7,13 118

9,13 168

TIERCE

9,7,13 4,411

TRIO

7,9,13 709

FIRST 4

7,9,12,13 1,670

QUARTET

9,7,13,12 32,571

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 34

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

5,9,12/7,9,13 506,139

8TH DOUBLE

5/7 59.5

5/9 622.5

SIX UP

1,3/4,8/6,8/2,10/5,12/7,9 8,806

3/8/6/10/5/9 143,793

2 [K Teetan] —

TREBLE

10/5/7 120

10/5/9 1,322