Sha Tin · 2020-05-27
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-27 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CALIFORNIA CONCORD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with ZERO HEDGE second and PRANCE DRAGON third. The 2.7 favourite UTOPIA LIFE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD TT 1.08.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 9 | 44.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | MEGA HEART XB/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 4 | 9.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | NAMJONG SINGS B H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 6 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 11 | 2.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SINCERE BOY H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 1 | 135.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 12 | 56.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HALL OF CHAMP T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 2 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | STRIVE FOR GLORY M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 10 | 15.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | JUST NOT LISTENING V Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 8 | 5.3 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | TRUST ME B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 32.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ELITE PATCH C Schofield · K W Lui | C Schofield | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 20.6% | 4.86 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE | 13.8% | 7.23 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 12.6% | 7.96 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | TRUST ME | 11.3% | 8.89 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | MEGA HEART | 10.7% | 9.36 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | HALL OF CHAMP | 8.0% | 12.54 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | ZERO HEDGE | 6.6% | 15.16 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | NAMJONG SINGS | 5.5% | 18.09 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 3.9% | 25.49 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 3.7% | 26.68 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | PRANCE DRAGON | 2.0% | 49.16 | 3 |
| 12 | 7 | SINCERE BOY | 1.3% | 76.97 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 58.5
PLACE
5 25
9 85
12 39.5
QUINELLA
5,12 535.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 326.5
5,12 165
9,12 631.5
TIERCE
5,12,9 14,149
TRIO
5,9,12 4,276
FIRST 4
1,5,9,12 5,276
QUARTET
5,12,9,1 94,161
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
10/5 108.5
10/12 143