沙田 · 2020-05-27
第 8場
2020-05-27沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA CONCORD勝出，贏出3/4。ZERO HEDGE獲得亞軍；PRANCE DRAGON獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門UTOPIA LIFE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD TT 1.08.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 9 | 44.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | MEGA HEART XB/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 4 | 9.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | NAMJONG SINGS B H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 6 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 11 | 2.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SINCERE BOY H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 1 | 135.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 12 | 56.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HALL OF CHAMP T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 2 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | STRIVE FOR GLORY M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 10 | 15.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | JUST NOT LISTENING V Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 8 | 5.3 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | TRUST ME B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 32.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ELITE PATCH C Schofield · K W Lui | C Schofield | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 20.6% | 4.86 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE | 13.8% | 7.23 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 12.6% | 7.96 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | TRUST ME | 11.3% | 8.89 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | MEGA HEART | 10.7% | 9.36 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | HALL OF CHAMP | 8.0% | 12.54 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | ZERO HEDGE | 6.6% | 15.16 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | NAMJONG SINGS | 5.5% | 18.09 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 3.9% | 25.49 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 3.7% | 26.68 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | PRANCE DRAGON | 2.0% | 49.16 | 3 |
| 12 | 7 | SINCERE BOY | 1.3% | 76.97 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 58.5
PLACE
5 25
9 85
12 39.5
QUINELLA
5,12 535.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 326.5
5,12 165
9,12 631.5
TIERCE
5,12,9 14,149
TRIO
5,9,12 4,276
FIRST 4
1,5,9,12 5,276
QUARTET
5,12,9,1 94,161
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
10/5 108.5
10/12 143