沙田 · 2020-05-27
第 6場
2020-05-27沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BEAUTY LOYAL勝出，贏出N。GOOD FOR YOU獲得亞軍；SUNSET WATCH獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門SUPER POWER MAN跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY LOYAL B/TT 1.09.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | GOOD FOR YOU B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 15.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | SUNSET WATCH XB-/P1/TT- Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 2 | 8.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | REFINED TREASURE B/XB/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 8 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | TAKINGUFURTHER H/V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | LE TERROIR CP/XB2 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 7 | 100.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER POWER MAN C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 6 | 2.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | ENSHRINED H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 61.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FANTASTIC FEELING B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 12 | 55.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | VICTORY IN HAND TT A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 4 | 4.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | WON BALL M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 296.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | KA YING LEGEND TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 5.1 | ML |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VICTORY IN HAND | 17.1% | 5.84 | 10 |
| 2 | 6 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 14.5% | 6.90 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER POWER MAN | 13.8% | 7.26 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | KA YING LEGEND | 13.7% | 7.27 | 12 |
| 5 | 3 | SUNSET WATCH | 11.9% | 8.39 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | GOOD FOR YOU | 7.2% | 13.97 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | REFINED TREASURE | 7.1% | 13.99 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 5.9% | 17.00 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | ENSHRINED | 4.0% | 24.78 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | FANTASTIC FEELING | 1.9% | 51.76 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | LE TERROIR | 1.8% | 55.28 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | WON BALL | 1.0% | 101.01 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 105.5
PLACE
3 23.5
6 27.5
8 32.5
QUINELLA
6,8 587
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 97
3,8 158.5
6,8 150
TIERCE
6,8,3 5,374
TRIO
3,6,8 936
FIRST 4
2,3,6,8 3,422
QUARTET
6,8,3,2 74,001
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 24.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
8/6 727.5
8/8 108