沙田 · 2020-05-27
第 2場
2020-05-27沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由N Callan策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的HIDDEN SPIRIT勝出，贏出3/4。CURLING LUXURY獲得亞軍；KEEP WINNING獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以5.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HIDDEN SPIRIT 後段發力 B/TT 1.49.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | CURLING LUXURY H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | KEEP WINNING 後段發力 TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 2 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | DR LUCKY STAR 後段發力 B/XB T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 4 | 83.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | THE FULL BLOOM P1/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | VIRTUS STAR 後段發力 CP-/SR-/B1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 5.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | ROCKAGE 早段領放 B/XB/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 8 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | SKY GEM 後段發力 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | BREAK RECORD 後段發力 CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 13 | 33.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | HAPPY ICHIBAN P2 C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 6 | 9.9 | 23-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | WICKER B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 14 | 22.0 | 27-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | HAY RUN A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 11 | 6.5 | 33-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | CAMFORD MAGIC B1 H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 3 | 234.0 | 68-3/4 |
| — | 8 | OLD HAVANA C Wong · D E Ferraris | C Wong | D E Ferraris | 12 | 60.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VIRTUS STAR | 23.9% | 4.19 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | HIDDEN SPIRIT | 17.2% | 5.80 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | SKY GEM | 15.2% | 6.58 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 8.1% | 12.35 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | HAY RUN | 7.3% | 13.71 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | CURLING LUXURY | 6.1% | 16.28 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | THE FULL BLOOM | 5.2% | 19.39 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | KEEP WINNING | 4.5% | 22.29 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | WICKER | 4.5% | 22.31 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | BREAK RECORD | 3.7% | 27.03 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | ROCKAGE | 2.9% | 35.04 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | DR LUCKY STAR | 0.9% | 115.59 | 4 |
| 13 | 5 | CAMFORD MAGIC | 0.6% | 156.77 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 51.5
PLACE
2 21
6 20
9 30
QUINELLA
2,6 188.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 64.5
2,9 87
6,9 95.5
TIERCE
2,6,9 1,927
TRIO
2,6,9 275
FIRST 4
2,6,9,13 8,810
QUARTET
2,6,9,13 117,624
1ST DOUBLE
11/2 361
11/6 62.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A3 —
A1 —