沙田 · 2020-05-27
第 5場
2020-05-27沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K C Leung策騎、T P Yung訓練的STRIKING MR C勝出，贏出SH。GUNNAR獲得亞軍；WAYFOONG CHARMER獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門HANDSOME REBEL跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STRIKING MR C B/TT 1.09.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 6.9 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | GUNNAR TT H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | WAYFOONG CHARMER BO V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 7.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | RESOLUTE B/XB1 C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 10 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ELITE BOY B/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 9 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | HANDSOME REBEL B2 Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 6 | 3.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | STAR SUPERIOR K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 4 | 6.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | BREEZE OF SPRING V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | GOLDIE FLANKER B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 7 | 28.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | VICTORY MASTERY PC A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | BOND A STAR T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 3 | 207.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VICTORY MASTERY | 17.6% | 5.69 | 11 |
| 2 | 2 | HANDSOME REBEL | 15.6% | 6.43 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 11.9% | 8.38 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | WAYFOONG CHARMER | 11.4% | 8.74 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | ELITE BOY | 9.3% | 10.81 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | SKYEY SUPREME | 6.7% | 14.95 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | STRIKING MR C | 6.5% | 15.31 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | STAR SUPERIOR | 6.0% | 16.58 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | GUNNAR | 5.9% | 16.89 | 2 |
| 10 | 1 | GOLDIE FLANKER | 4.2% | 23.79 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | RESOLUTE | 4.0% | 24.80 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | BOND A STAR | 0.8% | 120.34 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 69.5
PLACE
4 37
8 25.5
12 22.5
QUINELLA
4,8 569.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 202
4,12 129.5
8,12 97
TIERCE
8,4,12 6,599
TRIO
4,8,12 1,264
FIRST 4
4,8,9,12 6,911
QUARTET
8,4,12,9 158,945
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/4,8,12 63,880
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 28
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/4 106
3/8 108