沙田 · 2020-05-27
第 1場
2020-05-27沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的COOLCELEB勝出，贏出3-3/4。WINNING BREW獲得亞軍；LITTLE THUNDER獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門WINNING BREW跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | COOLCELEB PC/TT 1.08.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 6 | 3.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | WINNING BREW K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 2.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | LITTLE THUNDER B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 7 | 5.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SAM'S LOVE TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | BLOTTING PAPER B/H B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 4 | 73.0 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | YICHUN BLITZ B/XB C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 12 | 16.0 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE H/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 24.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | FOR FUN'S SAKE B-/XB/CP1 V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 9 | 48.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | GRACIOUS RYDER B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 22.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | DOLLAR REWARD P/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 38.0 | 19-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | KING'S TROOPER B N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 10 | 41.0 | 25-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | COOLCELEB | 27.3% | 3.66 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | LITTLE THUNDER | 13.7% | 7.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | WINNING BREW | 13.2% | 7.56 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | YICHUN BLITZ | 10.7% | 9.32 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | SAM'S LOVE | 9.3% | 10.74 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | GRACIOUS RYDER | 6.2% | 16.05 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 5.6% | 17.73 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION | 4.5% | 22.09 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | KING'S TROOPER | 3.5% | 28.82 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | DOLLAR REWARD | 2.4% | 42.49 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 2.1% | 47.05 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | BLOTTING PAPER | 1.3% | 74.73 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 39.5
PLACE
7 13.5
8 17
11 13.5
QUINELLA
7,11 57
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 33
7,11 26.5
8,11 39
TIERCE
11,7,8 482
TRIO
7,8,11 79
FIRST 4
3,7,8,11 219
QUARTET
11,7,8,3 5,151
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15