Sha Tin · 2020-06-07
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-07 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. PERFECT MATCH, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with MONGOLIAN KING second and DAN CONTROL third. The winner led throughout. The 4.5 favourite GLORIOUS SPECTRUM finished 14th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PERFECT MATCH Wire to wire B/TT 1.22.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | MONGOLIAN KING Closed strongly B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | DAN CONTROL Closed strongly XB J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 14 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | BEAUTY RUSH E K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 13 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | WATER DIVINER Closed strongly B/H/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 6 | 47.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | MORETHANLUCKY B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | HIGH REV Closed strongly B/XB T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 2 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | UNCLE STEVE Closed strongly SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 8 | 65.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | STAR SHINE Closed strongly TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 11 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | EASY GO EASY WIN B-/XB/V1 H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 4 | 45.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | TRANSCENDENT TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 3 | 22.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | PRINCE OF FROG H/P/XB H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 5 | 27.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | GLORIOUS SPECTRUM CP A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 7 | 4.5 | 17 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DAN CONTROL | 18.8% | 5.32 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | MORETHANLUCKY | 14.7% | 6.80 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | GLORIOUS SPECTRUM | 14.3% | 7.01 | 14 |
| 4 | 1 | PERFECT MATCH | 9.1% | 10.97 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | BEAUTY RUSH | 7.2% | 13.81 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | UNCLE STEVE | 5.9% | 17.04 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | STAR SHINE | 5.4% | 18.60 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | MONGOLIAN KING | 5.3% | 18.78 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | TRANSCENDENT | 4.4% | 22.87 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | WATER DIVINER | 4.0% | 25.06 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 3.9% | 25.74 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | HIGH REV | 3.7% | 27.24 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | PRINCE OF FROG | 1.8% | 57.11 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 1.6% | 61.11 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 56
PLACE
1 21
4 35
12 26
QUINELLA
1,4 304.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 108
1,12 81.5
4,12 162
TIERCE
1,4,12 5,403
TRIO
1,4,12 792
FIRST 4
1,4,10,12 2,628
QUARTET
1,4,12,10 52,776
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 24.5
A3 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,6>9,11/1,4,12 68,935
9TH DOUBLE
2/1 553
2/4 276
SIX UP
5,8,14/7,12/5,8/1,10/2,6/1,4 28,201
5,14/7/8/10/2/1 6,306,689
8 [M F Poon] —
TREBLE
10/2/1 11,680
10/2/4 7,192