Sha Tin · 2020-06-07
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-07 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on YIELDING going. GREAT SMART, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with MISTER MONTE second and CURLING LUXURY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite LITTLE GENERAL finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | GREAT SMART Closed strongly CP/TT 1.49.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 9.6 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | MISTER MONTE CP K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 13 | 19.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | CURLING LUXURY Led early C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 3 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SHINEALOT Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/XB/H1 C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 9 | 7.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | KING PRINT Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 14 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | LITTLE GENERAL TT2 J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 5 | 5.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | BRING IT ON B-/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 10 | 5.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | AMAZING AGILITY SR/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 2 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 11 | 37.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | GOLDEN GENERAL CP C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 13.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 3 | YOU HAVE MY WORD B2 H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 6 | 49.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | YOUNG GLORY B A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 7 | 23.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | FANTASTIC BOY K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LITTLE GENERAL | 25.1% | 3.98 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | KING PRINT | 10.5% | 9.52 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 8.8% | 11.33 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | BRING IT ON | 8.6% | 11.67 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | CURLING LUXURY | 7.8% | 12.77 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | FORTUNE PATROL | 7.0% | 14.23 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | AMAZING AGILITY | 6.3% | 15.87 | 10 |
| 8 | 14 | GREAT SMART | 5.8% | 17.25 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 5.6% | 17.73 | 11 |
| 10 | 13 | YOUNG GLORY | 5.0% | 19.83 | 14 |
| 11 | 2 | SHINEALOT | 3.4% | 29.34 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | MISTER MONTE | 2.6% | 38.66 | 2 |
| 13 | 9 | JOY MASTER | 2.2% | 45.43 | 8 |
| 14 | 3 | YOU HAVE MY WORD | 1.1% | 87.15 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 96
PLACE
1 22
6 63.5
14 33.5
QUINELLA
6,14 1,216
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 214
1,14 117
6,14 359.5
TIERCE
14,6,1 13,906
TRIO
1,6,14 2,297
FIRST 4
1,2,6,14 5,662
QUARTET
14,6,1,2 157,927
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
9,11,12/1,6,14 210,424
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 17.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
11/6 232.5
11/14 759