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Sha Tin · 2020-06-07

Race 8

Class 3 YIELDING 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 WIN WIN Closed strongly B 1.22.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · T P Yung 1 13.0 1-1/2
2 0 LOBO'S LEGEND Closed strongly SR1 J Moreira · D E Ferraris 8 6.0 1-1/2
3 0 RELENTLESS ME B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 13 15.0 1-3/4
4 0 GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly H W Lai · Y S Tsui 7 29.0 1-3/4
5 0 GUY DRAGON Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So 14 9.0 2-1/4
6 0 CALIFORNIA LEVEE B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 6 29.0 3-3/4
7 0 BIG BROOK Closed strongly B Shinn · C Fownes 12 62.0 3-3/4
8 0 EVERYONE'S JOY Closed strongly CP/XB/TT C Schofield · F C Lor 5 10.0 5-3/4
9 0 E STAR Closed strongly H K C Leung · K L Man 3 18.0 7-1/4
10 0 CHAIRMAN LO B-/E1 M Chadwick · J Size 4 11.0 8-3/4
11 0 SMOOTHIES TT Z Purton · C S Shum 11 7.4 10-3/4
12 0 SIMPLE ELEGANT Led early V M F Poon · P F Yiu 9 7.4 15-1/2
13 0 HELLO BEAUTY B/TT A Hamelin · J Moore 10 6.3 16
14 0 STREET SCREAM B1 T H So · D J Hall 2 21.0 16-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-07 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. WIN WIN, ridden by V Borges and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/2, with LOBO'S LEGEND second and RELENTLESS ME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 6.0 favourite LOBO'S LEGEND finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WIN WIN—2. LOBO'S LEGEND+1.5L3. RELENTLESS ME+1.75L4. GREAT TREASURE+1.75L5. GUY DRAGON+2.25L6. CALIFORNIA LEVEE+3.75L7. BIG BROOK+3.75L8. EVERYONE'S JOY+5.75L9. E STAR+7.25L10. CHAIRMAN LO+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick SMOOTHIES (18.8%) finished 11th — the winner WIN WIN was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SMOOTHIES 18.8% 5.31 11
2 0 LOBO'S LEGEND 13.1% 7.62 2
3 0 RELENTLESS ME 11.8% 8.49 3
4 0 EVERYONE'S JOY 11.2% 8.96 8
5 0 HELLO BEAUTY 7.9% 12.71 13
6 0 CHAIRMAN LO 7.9% 12.73 10
7 0 GUY DRAGON 7.1% 13.99 5
8 0 SIMPLE ELEGANT 5.1% 19.43 12
9 0 WIN WIN 4.0% 25.23 1
10 0 GREAT TREASURE 3.2% 31.22 4
11 0 BIG BROOK 3.1% 32.08 7
12 0 CALIFORNIA LEVEE 2.9% 34.12 6
13 0 E STAR 2.5% 39.70 9
14 0 STREET SCREAM 1.3% 74.61 14
SMOOTHIESLOBO'S LEGENDRELENTLESS MEEVERYONE'S JOYHELLO BEAUTYCHAIRMAN LOGUY DRAGONSIMPLE ELEGANTWIN WIN — wonGREAT TREASUREBIG BROOKCALIFORNIA LEVEEE STARSTREET SCREAM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 136

PLACE

1 22.5

4 47.5

10 37.5

QUINELLA

1,10 472.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 145

1,10 151.5

4,10 418

TIERCE

10,1,4 20,841

TRIO

1,4,10 2,738

FIRST 4

1,4,10,13 12,882

QUARTET

10,1,4,13 284,918

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 16

A2 —

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

8/1 187.5

8/10 2,448