Sha Tin · 2020-06-07
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MIGHTY VALOR B- 1.09.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SO AWESOME B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 1 | 9.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 6 | 6.5 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | CHIKORITA XB C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 8 | 38.0 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE MAN TT1 C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 3 | 8.7 | 10-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | EVER STRONG P H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 49.0 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY H/P K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 12 | 11.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 3.8 | 11-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ALLOY STAR K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 17.0 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | THE ELITES TT1 V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 7 | 59.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GO GOAL TOBY M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 66.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BULB ELITE B2 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 6.6 | 15-1/4 |
| — | 0 | WINNING FEELING J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-07 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. MIGHTY VALOR, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by 4-1/2, with SO AWESOME second and SUPER EIGHTEEN third. The 3.8 favourite WOOD ON FIRE finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NOBLE MAN | 18.1% | 5.52 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE | 15.5% | 6.43 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY | 13.8% | 7.23 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 12.3% | 8.16 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BULB ELITE | 11.2% | 8.93 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | THE ELITES | 9.6% | 10.45 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | ALLOY STAR | 5.5% | 18.15 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | MIGHTY VALOR | 5.2% | 19.41 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | GO GOAL TOBY | 4.9% | 20.36 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | EVER STRONG | 1.4% | 71.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | CHIKORITA | 1.3% | 76.23 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | SO AWESOME | 1.2% | 83.64 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 50
PLACE
9 31
11 20.5
12 17
QUINELLA
9,11 283.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 98.5
9,12 100.5
11,12 62.5
TIERCE
11,9,12 2,614
TRIO
9,11,12 514
FIRST 4
2,9,11,12 3,636
QUARTET
11,9,12,2 58,833
2ND DOUBLE
6/9 312
6/11 534.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 24.5