沙田 · 2020-06-07
第 3場
2020-06-07沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為YIELDING。由M F Poon策騎、P F Yiu訓練的MIGHTY VALOR勝出，贏出4-1/2。SO AWESOME獲得亞軍；SUPER EIGHTEEN獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門WOOD ON FIRE跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MIGHTY VALOR B- 1.09.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | SO AWESOME B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 1 | 9.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 6 | 6.5 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | CHIKORITA XB C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 8 | 38.0 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | NOBLE MAN TT1 C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 3 | 8.7 | 10-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | EVER STRONG P H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 49.0 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY H/P K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 12 | 11.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 3.8 | 11-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | ALLOY STAR K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 17.0 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | THE ELITES TT1 V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 7 | 59.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | GO GOAL TOBY M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 66.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | BULB ELITE B2 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 6.6 | 15-1/4 |
| — | 0 | WINNING FEELING J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NOBLE MAN | 18.1% | 5.52 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE | 15.5% | 6.43 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY | 13.8% | 7.23 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 12.3% | 8.16 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | BULB ELITE | 11.2% | 8.93 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | THE ELITES | 9.6% | 10.45 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | ALLOY STAR | 5.5% | 18.15 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | MIGHTY VALOR | 5.2% | 19.41 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | GO GOAL TOBY | 4.9% | 20.36 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | EVER STRONG | 1.4% | 71.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | CHIKORITA | 1.3% | 76.23 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | SO AWESOME | 1.2% | 83.64 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 50
PLACE
9 31
11 20.5
12 17
QUINELLA
9,11 283.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 98.5
9,12 100.5
11,12 62.5
TIERCE
11,9,12 2,614
TRIO
9,11,12 514
FIRST 4
2,9,11,12 3,636
QUARTET
11,9,12,2 58,833
2ND DOUBLE
6/9 312
6/11 534.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 24.5
A3 —