沙田 · 2020-06-07
第 7場
2020-06-07沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為YIELDING。由K H Chan策騎、C S Shum訓練的BALTIC WHISPER勝出，贏出SH。WAR OF COURAGE獲得亞軍；EXPLOSIVE WITNESS獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門WAR OF COURAGE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BALTIC WHISPER TT 0.57.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 10 | 17.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | WAR OF COURAGE J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 7 | 2.0 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 11 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B A Hamelin · J Moore | A Hamelin | J Moore | 8 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | STORM WARNINGS SR1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 31.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | TOTAL EXCESS TT1 Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 9 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | CZARSON B1/TT1 M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 4 | 91.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | REFINED TREASURE B/XB/TT C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 3 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | KING'S EMINENCE XB1/TT- H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 82.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | COBY OPPA PC-/TT- M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 6 | 38.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WAR OF COURAGE | 47.9% | 2.09 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 13.8% | 7.23 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | TOTAL EXCESS | 9.7% | 10.27 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER | 9.0% | 11.12 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | BALTIC WHISPER | 4.3% | 23.01 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | REFINED TREASURE | 3.8% | 26.18 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 3.4% | 29.74 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | COBY OPPA | 2.6% | 37.80 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | STORM WARNINGS | 2.2% | 46.45 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | CZARSON | 1.8% | 55.32 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | KING'S EMINENCE | 1.4% | 70.16 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 174.5
PLACE
5 13
7 23.5
8 37
QUINELLA
5,8 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 40
5,8 58.5
7,8 166
TIERCE
8,5,7 2,807
TRIO
5,7,8 337
FIRST 4
4,5,7,8 376
QUARTET
8,5,7,4 12,960
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,12/5,7,8 17,720
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 39.5
A1 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/5 83.5
7/8 1,335