沙田 · 2020-06-07
第 9場
2020-06-07沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為YIELDING。由M F Poon策騎、K H Ting訓練的HELLO DADDY勝出，贏出1-1/4。SMART PATCH獲得亞軍；CHEERFUL LEADER獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.5倍大熱門CHEERFUL LEADER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HELLO DADDY 一路領先 B 1.35.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 14 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | SMART PATCH 後段發力 B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 7 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | CHEERFUL LEADER 後段發力 B/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | MORE THAN A HORSE 後段發力 P-/B2/SR2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | REYNOLDS 後段發力 SR V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 8 | 89.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | TASHIDELEK 後段發力 B/TT M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 2 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | DECISIVE ACTION J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 12 | 4.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | NATURAL WINNER CP M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 9 | 51.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | KIRAM K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 5 | 62.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | BEAUTY DAY B/H Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 5.7 | 15 |
| 11 | 8 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE H/P H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 1 | 125.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | HONGKONG GREAT TT1 B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 6 | 63.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | MR ALDAN B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.9 | 21-3/4 |
| — | 11 | SUCH A HAPPINESS A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | DECISIVE ACTION | 25.4% | 3.94 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 25.1% | 3.98 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | HELLO DADDY | 9.6% | 10.45 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | MR ALDAN | 8.7% | 11.43 | 13 |
| 5 | 5 | BEAUTY DAY | 7.7% | 13.05 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | TASHIDELEK | 7.4% | 13.48 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | SMART PATCH | 5.0% | 19.81 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 4.4% | 22.93 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | HONGKONG GREAT | 1.8% | 56.91 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | REYNOLDS | 1.6% | 62.11 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | NATURAL WINNER | 1.5% | 67.75 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | KIRAM | 1.3% | 74.19 | 9 |
| 13 | 8 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 0.5% | 198.67 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 127.5
PLACE
2 36
6 24.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
2,6 606
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 172.5
2,9 75.5
6,9 52
TIERCE
2,6,9 3,817
TRIO
2,6,9 479
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 1,607
QUARTET
2,6,9,7 48,688
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 24.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
10/2 2,132
10/6 291.5