沙田 · 2020-06-07
第 8場
2020-06-07沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為YIELDING。由V Borges策騎、T P Yung訓練的WIN WIN勝出，贏出1-1/2。LOBO'S LEGEND獲得亞軍；RELENTLESS ME獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。6.0倍大熱門LOBO'S LEGEND跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WIN WIN 後段發力 B 1.22.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 1 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | LOBO'S LEGEND 後段發力 SR1 J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 8 | 6.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | RELENTLESS ME B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | GUY DRAGON 後段發力 XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 14 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | BIG BROOK 後段發力 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 62.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | EVERYONE'S JOY 後段發力 CP/XB/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 5 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | E STAR 後段發力 H K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | CHAIRMAN LO B-/E1 M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 4 | 11.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SMOOTHIES TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 7.4 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SIMPLE ELEGANT 早段領放 V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.4 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT A Hamelin · J Moore | A Hamelin | J Moore | 10 | 6.3 | 16 |
| 14 | 14 | STREET SCREAM B1 T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 2 | 21.0 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SMOOTHIES | 18.8% | 5.31 | 11 |
| 2 | 1 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 13.1% | 7.62 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | RELENTLESS ME | 11.8% | 8.49 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 11.2% | 8.96 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | HELLO BEAUTY | 7.9% | 12.71 | 13 |
| 6 | 11 | CHAIRMAN LO | 7.9% | 12.73 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | GUY DRAGON | 7.1% | 13.99 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | SIMPLE ELEGANT | 5.1% | 19.43 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | WIN WIN | 4.0% | 25.23 | 1 |
| 10 | 13 | GREAT TREASURE | 3.2% | 31.22 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | BIG BROOK | 3.1% | 32.08 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE | 2.9% | 34.12 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | E STAR | 2.5% | 39.70 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | STREET SCREAM | 1.3% | 74.61 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 136
PLACE
1 22.5
4 47.5
10 37.5
QUINELLA
1,10 472.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 145
1,10 151.5
4,10 418
TIERCE
10,1,4 20,841
TRIO
1,4,10 2,738
FIRST 4
1,4,10,13 12,882
QUARTET
10,1,4,13 284,918
3 PICK 1
A3 16
A1 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
8/1 187.5
8/10 2,448