沙田 · 2020-06-07
第 6場
2020-06-07沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為YIELDING。由K H Chan策騎、K L Man訓練的CARE FREE PRINCE勝出，贏出1-1/2。SPEED FAY FAY獲得亞軍；HEZA BEAUTY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門HEZA BEAUTY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CARE FREE PRINCE 後段發力 B 1.22.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 12 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | SPEED FAY FAY 後段發力 B C Y Ho · T P Yung | C Y Ho | T P Yung | 3 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | HEZA BEAUTY 後段發力 E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | EPTIWINS 後段發力 B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SMART CHARADE 後段發力 B/H/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | CIGAR BUDDIES 早段領放 H1 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HAVE FUN TOGETHER 後段發力 H B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 13 | 46.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | SPICY GRILL TT1 H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 6 | 46.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | PERFECT PAIR 後段發力 SR M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 14 | 30.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | STAR WIN C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 140.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 11 | 8.8 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | UNICORNBABY B/TT C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 5 | 17.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | WINNING CONTROLLER B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 9 | 51.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY CP K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 8 | 73.0 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CASA DE FORCA K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HEZA BEAUTY | 34.7% | 2.88 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | EPTIWINS | 16.1% | 6.22 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 7.5% | 13.38 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 6.4% | 15.56 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | SPEED FAY FAY | 6.1% | 16.52 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | UNICORNBABY | 5.7% | 17.56 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 3.7% | 26.68 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | SMART CHARADE | 3.7% | 26.80 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | PERFECT PAIR | 3.6% | 27.50 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | HAVE FUN TOGETHER | 3.1% | 31.90 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | SPICY GRILL | 3.0% | 33.62 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | STAR WIN | 2.9% | 34.87 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY | 1.9% | 52.90 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | WINNING CONTROLLER | 1.5% | 65.14 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 135
PLACE
4 14.5
7 39
12 19.5
QUINELLA
7,12 325.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 88
4,12 37
7,12 113.5
TIERCE
7,12,4 3,521
TRIO
4,7,12 357
FIRST 4
4,7,10,12 325
QUARTET
7,12,4,10 11,197
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 33
A2 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
5,14/7 668
5,14/12 51
TRIPLE TRIO
1,6,14/12>5,8,14/4,7,12 8,625,903
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,6,14/12>5,8,14/Any Combination 21,338