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Sha Tin · 2020-06-07

Race 6

Class 4 YIELDING 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.52
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CARE FREE PRINCE Closed strongly B 1.22.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · K L Man 12 13.0 1-1/2
2 0 SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B C Y Ho · T P Yung 3 4.9 1-1/2
3 0 HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E J Moreira · J Size 2 3.2 1-3/4
4 0 EPTIWINS Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall 10 4.5 3-1/2
5 0 SMART CHARADE Closed strongly B/H/TT V Borges · W Y So 4 19.0 4-3/4
6 0 CIGAR BUDDIES Led early H1 K Teetan · P F Yiu 1 15.0 5-1/4
7 0 HAVE FUN TOGETHER Closed strongly H B Shinn · C Fownes 13 46.0 7
8 0 SPICY GRILL TT1 H T Mo · K W Lui 6 46.0 8
9 0 PERFECT PAIR Closed strongly SR M L Yeung · K H Ting 14 30.0 8-3/4
10 0 STAR WIN C L Chau · D J Whyte 7 140.0 10-1/4
11 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B A Hamelin · F C Lor 11 8.8 10-1/2
12 0 UNICORNBABY B/TT C Wong · R Gibson 5 17.0 11
13 0 WINNING CONTROLLER B T H So · C H Yip 9 51.0 11-1/4
14 0 LET'S TAKE IT EASY CP K C Leung · L Ho 8 73.0 14-3/4
— 0 CASA DE FORCA K Teetan · A S Cruz — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-07 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. CARE FREE PRINCE, ridden by K H Chan and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/2, with SPEED FAY FAY second and HEZA BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite HEZA BEAUTY finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CARE FREE PRINCE—2. SPEED FAY FAY+1.5L3. HEZA BEAUTY+1.75L4. EPTIWINS+3.5L5. SMART CHARADE+4.75L6. CIGAR BUDDIES+5.25L7. HAVE FUN TOGETHER+7L8. SPICY GRILL+8L9. PERFECT PAIR+8.75L10. STAR WIN+10.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick HEZA BEAUTY (34.7%) finished 3rd — the winner CARE FREE PRINCE was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HEZA BEAUTY 34.7% 2.88 3
2 0 EPTIWINS 16.1% 6.22 4
3 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 7.5% 13.38 11
4 0 CIGAR BUDDIES 6.4% 15.56 6
5 0 SPEED FAY FAY 6.1% 16.52 2
6 0 UNICORNBABY 5.7% 17.56 12
7 0 CARE FREE PRINCE 3.7% 26.68 1
8 0 SMART CHARADE 3.7% 26.80 5
9 0 PERFECT PAIR 3.6% 27.50 9
10 0 HAVE FUN TOGETHER 3.1% 31.90 7
11 0 SPICY GRILL 3.0% 33.62 8
12 0 STAR WIN 2.9% 34.87 10
13 0 LET'S TAKE IT EASY 1.9% 52.90 14
14 0 WINNING CONTROLLER 1.5% 65.14 13
HEZA BEAUTYEPTIWINSALL FOR ST PAUL'SCIGAR BUDDIESSPEED FAY FAYUNICORNBABYCARE FREE PRINCE — wonSMART CHARADEPERFECT PAIRHAVE FUN TOGETHERSPICY GRILLSTAR WINLET'S TAKE IT EASYWINNING CONTROLLER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 135

PLACE

4 14.5

7 39

12 19.5

QUINELLA

7,12 325.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 88

4,12 37

7,12 113.5

TIERCE

7,12,4 3,521

TRIO

4,7,12 357

FIRST 4

4,7,10,12 325

QUARTET

7,12,4,10 11,197

3 PICK 1

A3 33

A1 —

A2 —

All pools (3 more)

5TH DOUBLE

5,14/7 668

5,14/12 51

TRIPLE TRIO

1,6,14/12>5,8,14/4,7,12 8,625,903

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,6,14/12>5,8,14/Any Combination 21,338