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Sha Tin · 2020-06-07

Race 2

Class 4 YIELDING 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-07 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. MAGIC SUPREME, ridden by K H Chan and trained by J Moore, won by 1-3/4, with REWARDING TOGETHER second and GLENEALY GENERALS third. The 4.7 favourite MONKEY JEWELLERY finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1.09.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 MAGIC SUPREME CP-/H1/XB2/TT 1.09.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · J Moore 2 10.0 1-3/4
2 7 REWARDING TOGETHER B1 K C Leung · F C Lor 1 13.0 1-3/4
3 1 GLENEALY GENERALS B2 Z Purton · C H Yip 12 5.2 2-1/2
4 11 FARM BUMPER A Hamelin · K L Man 4 6.2 3-1/2
5 4 LADY FIRST H/XB/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 8 7.1 4
6 10 SMART WONGCHOY B-/H/XB/P1 C Schofield · D J Whyte 10 13.0 4
7 2 MONKEY JEWELLERY J Moreira · J Size 7 4.7 4-3/4
8 8 MILLENNIUM FALCON H/XB K Teetan · W Y So 9 6.4 5-1/4
9 3 FRESH POWER B/TT B Shinn · Y S Tsui 5 24.0 6-1/4
10 12 SPEEDY DRAGON T H So · D J Hall 6 29.0 6-1/2
11 9 AFRICAN SKY CP-/XB/B1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 3 57.0 10-3/4
12 5 EASY DAZZLING B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui 11 50.0 13-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAGIC SUPREME2. REWARDING TOGETHER+1.75L3. GLENEALY GENERALS+2.5L4. FARM BUMPER+3.5L5. LADY FIRST+4L6. SMART WONGCHOY+4L7. MONKEY JEWELLERY+4.75L8. MILLENNIUM FALCON+5.25L9. FRESH POWER+6.25L10. SPEEDY DRAGON+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GLENEALY GENERALS (17.4%) finished 3rd — the winner MAGIC SUPREME was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 GLENEALY GENERALS 17.4% 5.76 3
2 2 MONKEY JEWELLERY 16.9% 5.92 7
3 11 FARM BUMPER 13.4% 7.47 4
4 4 LADY FIRST 13.0% 7.66 5
5 8 MILLENNIUM FALCON 9.6% 10.40 8
6 6 MAGIC SUPREME 8.5% 11.76 1
7 7 REWARDING TOGETHER 5.9% 17.05 2
8 12 SPEEDY DRAGON 4.6% 21.92 10
9 5 EASY DAZZLING 3.9% 25.95 12
10 10 SMART WONGCHOY 3.7% 27.20 6
11 9 AFRICAN SKY 1.8% 56.13 11
12 3 FRESH POWER 1.4% 69.56 9
GLENEALY GENERALSMONKEY JEWELLERYFARM BUMPERLADY FIRSTMILLENNIUM FALCONMAGIC SUPREME — wonREWARDING TOGETHERSPEEDY DRAGONEASY DAZZLINGSMART WONGCHOYAFRICAN SKYFRESH POWER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 104

PLACE

1 19.5

6 35

7 47

QUINELLA

6,7 996.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 93.5

1,7 151.5

6,7 271

TIERCE

6,7,1 15,503

TRIO

1,6,7 1,497

FIRST 4

1,6,7,11 1,996

QUARTET

6,7,1,11 52,293

1ST DOUBLE

3/6 3,508

3/7 522.5

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A3 28.5

A1