Sha Tin · 2020-06-07
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly 1.35.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET Closed strongly CP A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 12 | 4.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 13 | 9.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly B/XB C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 3 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | JADE FORTUNE Closed strongly B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 7.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | ROYAL RACER V1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | POLYMER LUCK B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 74.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT Led early B/TT K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 9 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 48.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART COUSIN K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 70.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 70.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE B-/H/XB/P2 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 16.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SANGRIA V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-07 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on YIELDING going. LEAP OF FAITH, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by N, with TELECOM ROCKET second and HAPPY WIN WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 28.9% | 3.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | JADE FORTUNE | 23.7% | 4.22 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 14.7% | 6.81 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 6.3% | 15.99 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET | 6.1% | 16.33 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 4.8% | 20.96 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 4.7% | 21.47 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | EZRA | 3.6% | 27.52 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 2.0% | 51.10 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 1.6% | 62.75 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 1.3% | 75.06 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | POLYMER LUCK | 1.3% | 76.11 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 1.1% | 94.10 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 33
PLACE
5 14.5
8 18
12 32
QUINELLA
5,8 80.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 34.5
5,12 65
8,12 69.5
TIERCE
5,8,12 878
TRIO
5,8,12 212
FIRST 4
1,5,8,12 437
QUARTET
5,8,12,1 7,338
3 PICK 1
A1 23.5
A3 —
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
14/5,14 384
14/8 126.5