Happy Valley · 2020-10-28
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREAT SMART Closed strongly CP/TT 1.49.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 1 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ART OF RAW Led early H/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | BABY STORM Closed strongly H/P1/TT C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 9 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GENERAL DINO Closed strongly B N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 4 | 5.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION B Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 5 | 5.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR Closed strongly CP1/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 11 | 27.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | YES WE CAN TT C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 3 | 7.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR E/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 12 | 85.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN Closed strongly CP1 M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 7 | 12.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | HEALTHY TREASURE B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 78.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KANBEKI MOLLY SR C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 10 | 129.0 | 17-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-28 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GREAT SMART, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K L Man, won by 1/2, with ART OF RAW second and BABY STORM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 32.4% | 3.09 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 19.2% | 5.22 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION | 9.2% | 10.91 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN | 8.5% | 11.80 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 7.7% | 12.97 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | BABY STORM | 7.2% | 13.98 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | ART OF RAW | 6.3% | 15.82 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 3.6% | 28.02 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GENERAL DINO | 2.9% | 34.42 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | HEALTHY TREASURE | 1.1% | 89.26 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR | 1.1% | 94.43 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | KANBEKI MOLLY | 0.9% | 105.58 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 39.5
PLACE
4 27.5
5 16
12 40
QUINELLA
5,12 265
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 68.5
4,12 172
5,12 100
FORECAST
5,12 458
TIERCE
5,12,4 3,393
TRIO
4,5,12 719
FIRST 4
2,4,5,12 1,359
QUARTET
5,12,4,2 25,398
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/5 73.5
6/12 88.5
3 PICK 1
A1 23
A2 —
A3 —