Happy Valley · 2020-10-28
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STANLEY PARK B 1.09.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 11 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | FALCON TURBO B/XB K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 7 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LE TERROIR CP/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 8 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | WIND N GRASS TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TELECOM JAC N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 3 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 9.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | BABY B V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 10 | 73.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | TORNADO TWIST H/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 5.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ISLAND SHINE B T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 12 | 33.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 6 | 65.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | CHIKORITA XB M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 5 | 34.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SHAMPORT TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 4.6 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-28 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. STANLEY PARK, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 1-1/2, with FALCON TURBO second and LE TERROIR third. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WIND N GRASS | 16.9% | 5.93 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | TORNADO TWIST | 14.8% | 6.75 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | SHAMPORT | 11.2% | 8.96 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | CHIKORITA | 10.1% | 9.88 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | LE TERROIR | 9.9% | 10.07 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME | 8.1% | 12.29 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | STANLEY PARK | 7.1% | 14.00 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | FALCON TURBO | 6.3% | 15.92 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | ISLAND SHINE | 6.0% | 16.59 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY | 3.9% | 25.57 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | TELECOM JAC | 2.8% | 35.50 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | BABY | 2.8% | 35.79 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 41
PLACE
2 46.5
7 16.5
9 26
QUINELLA
2,7 358.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 123
2,9 161.5
7,9 65
FORECAST
7,2 689
TIERCE
7,2,9 3,490
TRIO
2,7,9 775
FIRST 4
2,4,7,9 1,093
QUARTET
7,2,9,4 20,480
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 19.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
6/2 64.5
6/7 117