Happy Valley · 2020-10-28
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE Closed strongly XB 1.39.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 10 | 33.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 6.2 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 4.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | NABOO STAR Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING SWORD Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BRAVE KING Closed strongly SR-/XB/B2 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PRINCE OF FROG Led early H/P/XB M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 9 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPERBELLA V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 85.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 12 | 42.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 8 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 2 | 41.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-28 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BEST ALLIANCE, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with CINQUANTE CINQ second and LEAP OF FAITH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite NABOO STAR finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 27.8% | 3.60 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | FLYING SWORD | 16.3% | 6.13 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 12.6% | 7.95 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 10.6% | 9.46 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE KING | 7.4% | 13.46 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO | 6.1% | 16.31 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 5.8% | 17.37 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 4.5% | 22.09 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | PRINCE OF FROG | 4.3% | 23.13 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | HELLO BEAUTY | 1.9% | 52.89 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE | 1.8% | 55.69 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 0.9% | 107.38 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 330.5
PLACE
3 21
7 18
12 71.5
QUINELLA
3,12 739.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 60.5
3,12 192.5
7,12 198
FORECAST
12,3 2,306
TIERCE
12,3,7 13,516
TRIO
3,7,12 1,003
FIRST 4
2,3,7,12 926
QUARTET
12,3,7,2 36,229
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/3,7,12 318,666
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 33.5
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 92.5
1/12 2,677.5