Happy Valley · 2020-10-28
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-28 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. V CHEVALIERS, ridden by A Badel and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with PLAY WISE second and REGENCY MASTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite REGENCY MASTER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly P-/H 1.40.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 8.5 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | PLAY WISE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 4 | 5.7 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | REGENCY MASTER Led early TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 10 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | SHANGHAI GRACE C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 1 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly CP- C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 2 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | KING'S RACE B/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 5 | 8.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 9 | 40.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | AMAZING LUCK CP-/B2 N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 34.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 11 | HAPPY ICHIBAN C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | REGENCY MASTER | 17.3% | 5.79 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | KING'S RACE | 15.8% | 6.31 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 14.5% | 6.90 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 9.8% | 10.25 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | PLAY WISE | 9.5% | 10.47 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | V CHEVALIERS | 8.0% | 12.58 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | MALDIVES | 6.3% | 15.82 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE | 5.8% | 17.27 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 5.4% | 18.42 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 4.3% | 23.11 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | AMAZING LUCK | 3.3% | 30.50 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 85.5
PLACE
1 17
6 18.5
12 26.5
QUINELLA
6,12 254.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 44.5
1,12 69
6,12 86.5
FORECAST
12,6 720
TIERCE
12,6,1 2,405
TRIO
1,6,12 331
FIRST 4
1,5,6,12 857
QUARTET
12,6,1,5 26,625
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 24
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
12/6 345.5
12/12 3,285.5