Sha Tin · 2020-12-13
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-13 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY GO, ridden by W Buick and trained by C S Shum, won by NOSE, with NATURAL STORM second and FLYING MIGHTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite BEAUTY ANGEL finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR 1.48.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) W Buick · C S Shum | W Buick | C S Shum | 11 | 8.8 | NOSE |
| 2 | 13 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.2 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 5 | 19.0 | N |
| 4 | 11 | CHEVALIER PRINCE CP J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 4 | 7.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 14 | 157.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY MY BROTHER B/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 91.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | BEAUTY ANGEL TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.9 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | AWE Closed strongly T Marquand · D A Hayes | T Marquand | D A Hayes | 10 | 32.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | ARROGANT Led early B/TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 8 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | KYRUS UNICORN SR N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 6 | 60.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | CINQUANTE CINQ P-C Boudot · T P Yung | P-C Boudot | T P Yung | 2 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | ENZEMBLE H/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 12 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | DIVINE UNICORN TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 13 | 67.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 27.0% | 3.70 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 26.6% | 3.76 | 8 |
| 3 | 13 | NATURAL STORM | 17.8% | 5.63 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | CHARITY GO | 4.5% | 22.31 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | ENZEMBLE | 4.0% | 25.28 | 13 |
| 6 | 3 | ENRICHMENT | 3.7% | 26.99 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 3.5% | 28.42 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | AWE | 3.1% | 31.82 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | KYRUS UNICORN | 2.1% | 48.67 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | FLYING MIGHTY | 2.0% | 49.71 | 3 |
| 11 | 1 | ARROGANT | 1.9% | 51.31 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | DIVINE UNICORN | 1.9% | 53.48 | 14 |
| 13 | 6 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 1.3% | 75.41 | 6 |
| 14 | 5 | HAPPY MY BROTHER | 0.6% | 169.90 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 88.5
PLACE
2 20.5
12 61
13 16.5
QUINELLA
2,13 149.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,12 309
2,13 57.5
12,13 161.5
FORECAST
2,13 405
TIERCE
2,13,12 6,617
TRIO
2,12,13 1,578
FIRST 4
2,11,12,13 1,448
QUARTET
2,13,12,11 34,741
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/2 420
5/13 19.5
3 PICK 1
A3 30
A2 —
A1 —