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Sha Tin · 2020-12-13

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD 1600m Course A 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 1.3 2
2 0 SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes 6 31.0 2
3 0 ADMIRE MARS R Moore · Y Tomomichi 10 5.4 2-1/4
4 0 WAIKUKU Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size 5 16.0 2-1/2
5 0 BEAUTY GENERATION CP-/B2/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 3 19.0 3-1/4
6 0 ORDER OF AUSTRALIA B P-C Boudot · A P O'Brien 1 19.0 4-3/4
7 0 MIGHTY GIANT B A Badel · P F Yiu 2 49.0 5
8 0 KA YING STAR Led early V/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz 9 28.0 11
9 0 SIMPLY BRILLIANT XB K C Leung · F C Lor 8 110.0 11-3/4
10 0 ROMANISED E/XB/TT W J Lee · K J Condon 4 119.0 16-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-13 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with SOUTHERN LEGEND second and ADMIRE MARS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. SOUTHERN LEGEND+2L3. ADMIRE MARS+2.25L4. WAIKUKU+2.5L5. BEAUTY GENERATION+3.25L6. ORDER OF AUSTRALIA+4.75L7. MIGHTY GIANT+5L8. KA YING STAR+11L9. SIMPLY BRILLIANT+11.75L10. ROMANISED+16.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (28.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 28.9% 3.46 1
2 0 BEAUTY GENERATION 16.7% 5.98 5
3 0 WAIKUKU 11.7% 8.53 4
4 0 ADMIRE MARS 10.0% 10.05 3
5 0 MIGHTY GIANT 8.9% 11.18 7
6 0 KA YING STAR 6.8% 14.67 8
7 0 SOUTHERN LEGEND 5.1% 19.73 2
8 0 ROMANISED 4.9% 20.57 10
9 0 ORDER OF AUSTRALIA 3.9% 25.58 6
10 0 SIMPLY BRILLIANT 3.1% 32.63 9
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonBEAUTY GENERATIONWAIKUKUADMIRE MARSMIGHTY GIANTKA YING STARSOUTHERN LEGENDROMANISEDORDER OF AUSTRALIASIMPLY BRILLIANT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 13

PLACE

2 10.1

3 16

5 41.5

QUINELLA

2,5 111.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 20

2,5 38

3,5 106

FORECAST

2,5 158

TIERCE

2,5,3 521

TRIO

2,3,5 150

FIRST 4

2,3,5,6 202

QUARTET

2,5,3,6 3,188

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

5,7,11/2,3,5 5,240

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 13

6TH DOUBLE

5/2 47.5

5/5 262