Sha Tin · 2020-12-13
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-13 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with SOUTHERN LEGEND second and ADMIRE MARS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 1.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 6 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | ADMIRE MARS R Moore · Y Tomomichi | R Moore | Y Tomomichi | 10 | 5.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | WAIKUKU Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY GENERATION CP-/B2/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | ORDER OF AUSTRALIA B P-C Boudot · A P O'Brien | P-C Boudot | A P O'Brien | 1 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | MIGHTY GIANT B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 2 | 49.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | KA YING STAR Led early V/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 9 | 28.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT XB K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 110.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | ROMANISED E/XB/TT W J Lee · K J Condon | W J Lee | K J Condon | 4 | 119.0 | 16-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 28.9% | 3.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY GENERATION | 16.7% | 5.98 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | WAIKUKU | 11.7% | 8.53 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | ADMIRE MARS | 10.0% | 10.05 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | MIGHTY GIANT | 8.9% | 11.18 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | KA YING STAR | 6.8% | 14.67 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 5.1% | 19.73 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | ROMANISED | 4.9% | 20.57 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | ORDER OF AUSTRALIA | 3.9% | 25.58 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT | 3.1% | 32.63 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 13
PLACE
2 10.1
3 16
5 41.5
QUINELLA
2,5 111.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 20
2,5 38
3,5 106
FORECAST
2,5 158
TIERCE
2,5,3 521
TRIO
2,3,5 150
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 202
QUARTET
2,5,3,6 3,188
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,11/2,3,5 5,240
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
5/2 47.5
5/5 262