Sha Tin · 2020-12-20
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BELLA BABY XB/TT 0.57.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Soumillon · W Y So | C Soumillon | W Y So | 10 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | NOBLE DESIRE CP-/XB/V1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 8.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | XIANG LAN QI B1 K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 7 | 118.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | VIVA MAMA XB A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 14 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER KIN B-/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 4.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TIGERLAD B/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 11 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CORRE RAPIDO B K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 5 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GREAT SON V/TT C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | TINKER BELLE B T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 8 | 278.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 9 | 39.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MONEYMORE CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 14.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | IRON KING H Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 2 | 5.8 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | SHANGHAI POWER H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 35.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | CHARITYDREAM CP2/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 3 | 92.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-20 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. BELLA BABY, ridden by C Soumillon and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with NOBLE DESIRE second and XIANG LAN QI third. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NOBLE DESIRE | 21.3% | 4.69 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | IRON KING | 15.3% | 6.53 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER KIN | 12.7% | 7.90 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | BELLA BABY | 9.2% | 10.91 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | MONEYMORE | 8.3% | 12.03 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | CORRE RAPIDO | 6.3% | 15.85 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | VIVA MAMA | 5.6% | 17.86 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | TIGERLAD | 5.1% | 19.72 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | FOX CHEUNGER | 5.0% | 20.19 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT SON | 3.4% | 29.17 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | CHARITYDREAM | 3.2% | 31.59 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | XIANG LAN QI | 2.9% | 34.59 | 3 |
| 13 | 0 | TINKER BELLE | 1.0% | 98.58 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | SHANGHAI POWER | 0.8% | 128.37 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 37
PLACE
2 30
5 15
11 213.5
QUINELLA
2,5 177.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 62.5
2,11 1,048
5,11 582
FORECAST
5,2 351
TIERCE
5,2,11 16,426
TRIO
2,5,11 4,629
FIRST 4
2,5,7,11 10,414
QUARTET
5,2,11,7 199,162
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 21
A1 —