Sha Tin · 2020-12-20
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY Closed strongly V/TT1 1.21.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 5.6 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 4.4 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING METHOD Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 13 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BALLISTIC KING C Soumillon · K H Ting | C Soumillon | K H Ting | 9 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly E-/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | THINKIN' BIG Closed strongly B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 14 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE CP M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 53.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | UGLY WARRIOR Led early H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 193.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KING OPIE V K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 3 | 81.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH E M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 12 | 50.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CONQUEROR B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-20 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HEALTHY HAPPY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with BAND OF BROTHERS second and BEAUTY SMILE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite BAND OF BROTHERS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 13.7% | 7.30 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 13.4% | 7.49 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 12.3% | 8.13 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | THINKIN' BIG | 11.6% | 8.60 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 9.8% | 10.21 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | BALLISTIC KING | 9.2% | 10.89 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE | 8.0% | 12.57 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH | 5.4% | 18.55 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING METHOD | 5.1% | 19.64 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 4.5% | 22.11 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 2.9% | 35.07 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | KING OPIE | 2.8% | 35.35 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | UGLY WARRIOR | 1.4% | 72.42 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 56.5
PLACE
1 18
5 22
14 18
QUINELLA
1,5 150.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 56.5
1,14 46.5
5,14 63
FORECAST
5,1 376
TIERCE
5,1,14 1,506
TRIO
1,5,14 270
FIRST 4
1,5,9,14 990
QUARTET
5,1,14,9 21,979
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,10/1,5,10,14 201,957
9TH DOUBLE
7/1,10 570
7/5 4,463
SIX UP
5,9/9,11/4,6/1,5/3,7/1,5,10 126,642
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
5/7/1,10 5,898
5/7/5 33,231