Sha Tin · 2020-12-20
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DAILY CHARM Closed strongly B/TT 1.36.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 3 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly B- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly H1/TT J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 7 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART THINKER Closed strongly TT C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 12 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly B T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 14 | 62.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS H V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY SR/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 11 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | ROCKET HAMMER B- H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 1 | 254.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS Led early B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 67.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 13 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN H K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 4 | 52.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | SANGRIA B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 5 | 34.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | JOY MASTER V/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 9 | 18.0 | 7 |
| — | 0 | REGENCY GEM Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-20 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. DAILY CHARM, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C S Shum, won by 2, with TAILOR MADE second and YES WE CAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite YES WE CAN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 27.6% | 3.63 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SMART THINKER | 14.6% | 6.83 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 12.2% | 8.18 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 6.3% | 15.83 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 5.5% | 18.25 | 14 |
| 6 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 5.4% | 18.47 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 5.2% | 19.28 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS | 4.7% | 21.25 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 4.5% | 22.36 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 4.1% | 24.66 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 3.8% | 26.29 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS | 3.3% | 30.29 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | SANGRIA | 1.8% | 54.66 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | ROCKET HAMMER | 1.0% | 98.46 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 88
PLACE
5 13.5
9 35
12 27
QUINELLA
9,12 487.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 78.5
5,12 62.5
9,12 165
FORECAST
12,9 1,171
TIERCE
12,9,5 4,135
TRIO
5,9,12 535
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 913
QUARTET
12,9,5,3 27,100
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/9 103.5
5/12 638
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 26