Sha Tin · 2020-12-20
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER Closed strongly B-/V1 1.33.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 57.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly SR Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 2 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 13 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 4 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE Closed strongly SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 5 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY Led early B/H V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 11 | 9.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RED ELYSEES B H N Wong · K L Man | H N Wong | K L Man | 14 | 45.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT XB1/TT- C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 6 | 7.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN CP1/TT1 T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 3 | 39.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 252.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS B/E/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 6.4 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-20 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CELESTIAL POWER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with KYRUS UNICORN second and ROMANTIC COMBO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite ROMANTIC COMBO finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE | 14.4% | 6.94 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 14.2% | 7.04 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SACRED IBIS | 13.2% | 7.57 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 10.9% | 9.14 | 14 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 7.2% | 13.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 6.7% | 14.96 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 6.1% | 16.38 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 5.8% | 17.15 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY | 5.2% | 19.33 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 4.8% | 20.64 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 4.3% | 23.00 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 4.2% | 23.96 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.1% | 48.21 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 0.8% | 125.38 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 578
PLACE
3 23.5
7 142.5
10 17.5
QUINELLA
3,7 2,694
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 682.5
3,10 53
7,10 372.5
FORECAST
7,3 6,013
TIERCE
7,3,10 29,029
TRIO
3,7,10 2,377
FIRST 4
3,5,7,10 4,261
QUARTET
7,3,10,5 182,818
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24.5
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
5/3 190
5/7 5,994