Sha Tin · 2020-12-20
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly 1.21.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 1 | 2.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING STEED Closed strongly CP1 Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 2 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B C Soumillon · T P Yung | C Soumillon | T P Yung | 11 | 6.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SMART WONGCHOY Led early B-/H2 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 4 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SO AWESOME Closed strongly B1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 7.7 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | APOLAR WARRIOR Closed strongly B-/V1 C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 165.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT T Piccone · J Size | T Piccone | J Size | 3 | 115.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 5 | 7.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS Closed strongly CP/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 14 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 12 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN Closed strongly A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 7 | 156.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BIG LUCK CHAMP B1 B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 26.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly B- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 72.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SUNDAY BETTING B V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 6 | 67.0 | 24-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-20 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FORTUNE MASTER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-1/4, with WINNING STEED second and SPEED FAY FAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 24.3% | 4.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING STEED | 15.8% | 6.34 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SO AWESOME | 15.1% | 6.63 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 12.3% | 8.14 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 8.6% | 11.67 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 7.2% | 13.95 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD | 3.8% | 26.53 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS | 2.6% | 38.23 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART WONGCHOY | 2.5% | 39.57 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 2.5% | 40.02 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | BIG LUCK CHAMP | 2.2% | 45.11 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 1.4% | 73.39 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | SUNDAY BETTING | 1.2% | 82.82 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | COUNTRY BOY | 0.6% | 167.48 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 27
PLACE
2 21
9 19.5
11 13
QUINELLA
9,11 77
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 72.5
2,11 40
9,11 36
FORECAST
11,9 169
TIERCE
11,9,2 616
TRIO
2,9,11 141
FIRST 4
2,9,11,12 573
QUARTET
11,9,2,12 8,615
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19
5TH DOUBLE
9/9 486
9/11 1,364
TRIPLE TRIO
3,10,11/3,5,9/2,9,11 2,217,105
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,10,11/3,5,9/Any Combination 44,342