沙田 · 2020-12-20
第 9場
2020-12-20沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的CELESTIAL POWER勝出，贏出1-1/4。KYRUS UNICORN獲得亞軍；ROMANTIC COMBO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門ROMANTIC COMBO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CELESTIAL POWER 後段發力 B-/V1 1.33.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 57.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | KYRUS UNICORN 後段發力 SR Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 2 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | ROMANTIC COMBO 後段發力 B-/CP1/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 13 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | SACRED IBIS 後段發力 XB J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 4 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | UNCLE STEVE 後段發力 SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | TELECOM FIGHTERS H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPER ELEGANCE 後段發力 B/TT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 5 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | BEAUTY DAY 早段領放 B/H V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 11 | 9.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | RED ELYSEES B H N Wong · K L Man | H N Wong | K L Man | 14 | 45.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | PRECISE EXPRESS 後段發力 M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | PERFECT TO GREAT XB1/TT- C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 6 | 7.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | CALIFORNIA TEN CP1/TT1 T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 3 | 39.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 252.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 8 | TEMPEST EXPRESS B/E/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 6.4 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | UNCLE STEVE | 14.4% | 6.94 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 14.2% | 7.04 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | SACRED IBIS | 13.2% | 7.57 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 10.9% | 9.14 | 14 |
| 5 | 11 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 7.2% | 13.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | KYRUS UNICORN | 6.7% | 14.96 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 6.1% | 16.38 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 5.8% | 17.15 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | BEAUTY DAY | 5.2% | 19.33 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | CELESTIAL POWER | 4.8% | 20.64 | 1 |
| 11 | 13 | RED ELYSEES | 4.3% | 23.00 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 4.2% | 23.96 | 10 |
| 13 | 12 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.1% | 48.21 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 0.8% | 125.38 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 578
PLACE
3 23.5
7 142.5
10 17.5
QUINELLA
3,7 2,694
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 682.5
3,10 53
7,10 372.5
FORECAST
7,3 6,013
TIERCE
7,3,10 29,029
TRIO
3,7,10 2,377
FIRST 4
3,5,7,10 4,261
QUARTET
7,3,10,5 182,818
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 24.5
8TH DOUBLE
5/3 190
5/7 5,994