沙田 · 2020-12-20
第 4場
2020-12-20沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的SUPER TEN勝出，贏出2-1/2。LEADING FORTUNE獲得亞軍；ULTRA EXPRESS獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.0倍大熱門EVERYONE'S DELIGHT跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUPER TEN 一路領先 XB 1.22.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE 後段發力 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 4.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | ULTRA EXPRESS 後段發力 TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 12 | 47.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | MAXIMIZE HEART B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 86.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | KING DRAGON 後段發力 V/XB C Soumillon · K L Man | C Soumillon | K L Man | 14 | 9.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 2.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | DANDY YEARS B1/TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 75.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY B2 T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 8 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | GOLDEN FOUR K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 7 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR CP1/H1/XB1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 34.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | LUCKY TURBO B/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 6 | 70.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | A SHIN CHALLENGE B1 B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 13 | 203.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | EASY DAZZLING H/P/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 3 | 277.0 | 16-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 36.4% | 2.75 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE | 13.9% | 7.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | DANDY YEARS | 9.3% | 10.72 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | KING DRAGON | 8.8% | 11.35 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | SUPER TEN | 7.3% | 13.74 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 5.6% | 17.76 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.7% | 21.23 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | GOLDEN FOUR | 4.3% | 23.13 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 2.1% | 48.25 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | LUCKY TURBO | 1.9% | 52.77 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 1.8% | 54.25 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 1.7% | 58.28 | 3 |
| 13 | 5 | A SHIN CHALLENGE | 1.6% | 60.97 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | EASY DAZZLING | 0.5% | 214.88 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 89
PLACE
3 16
10 117
11 24.5
QUINELLA
3,11 275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 330
3,11 71.5
10,11 431
FORECAST
11,3 484
TIERCE
11,3,10 13,962
TRIO
3,10,11 3,224
FIRST 4
3,7,10,11 25,360
QUARTET
11,3,10,7 379,614
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/3,10,11 748,839
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 32.5
3RD DOUBLE
3/3 274.5
3/11 1,994.5