沙田 · 2020-12-20
第 8場
2020-12-20沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Soumillon策騎、K W Lui訓練的WINNING FOR ALL勝出，贏出3/4。ROMAN TURBO獲得亞軍；TORNADO TWIST獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門PRIVATE ROCKET跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WINNING FOR ALL H/B1 1.09.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Soumillon · K W Lui | C Soumillon | K W Lui | 12 | 8.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ROMAN TURBO SR/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 11 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | TORNADO TWIST B1/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SKY SHOW J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 8 | 9.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | ROYAL BOMB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | DUBLIN STAR B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 7 | 8.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | BEAUTY KOBE CP- Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 7.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | PRIVATE ROCKET CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | TELECOM CHEETAH P/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 10 | 224.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | ROYAL CAMPBELL CP V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 128.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR CP/H/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 9 | 117.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 24.0% | 4.17 | 9 |
| 2 | 12 | SKY SHOW | 17.4% | 5.75 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | BEAUTY KOBE | 11.3% | 8.84 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | WINNING FOR ALL | 10.7% | 9.37 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | DUBLIN STAR | 9.2% | 10.86 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | TORNADO TWIST | 7.5% | 13.35 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | ROMAN TURBO | 7.3% | 13.63 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO | 5.3% | 19.03 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | ROYAL BOMB | 4.5% | 22.36 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR | 1.5% | 65.31 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 1.0% | 104.96 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 0.4% | 254.81 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 85.5
PLACE
1 47
4 43.5
5 26.5
QUINELLA
1,5 457
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 341.5
1,5 160.5
4,5 180
FORECAST
5,1 1,005
TIERCE
5,1,4 8,168
TRIO
1,4,5 2,875
FIRST 4
1,4,5,12 4,966
QUARTET
5,1,4,12 87,676
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 29.5
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 210.5
4/5 535