沙田 · 2020-12-20
第 3場
2020-12-20沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的CARROLL STREET勝出，贏出1-3/4。FORTE獲得亞軍；SIGHT HERO獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門FORTE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CARROLL STREET XB1 0.56.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 47.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | FORTE XB/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 1.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SIGHT HERO CP B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 69.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | GLENEALY GENERALS V C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 3 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | FAMILY FOLKS A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 4 | 27.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | LITTLE THUNDER B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 9 | 65.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 14 | WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 24.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | INFINITE POWER B1 M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 14 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | VAST STARLIGHT H1 T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 2 | 98.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | DIAMOND PIXIU V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 7 | 142.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | HAPPY GATHERING A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 19.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | VECTOR H/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 12 | 36.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | READY TO FLY M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 72.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | FLAMING PASSION K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 4.5 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | WINNER METHOD Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FORTE | 28.4% | 3.52 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | FLAMING PASSION | 17.4% | 5.74 | 14 |
| 3 | 2 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 9.3% | 10.79 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | CARROLL STREET | 7.5% | 13.32 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | INFINITE POWER | 5.5% | 18.05 | 8 |
| 6 | 14 | WONDER EXPRESS | 5.3% | 18.91 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | HAPPY GATHERING | 4.4% | 22.47 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | VAST STARLIGHT | 4.4% | 22.72 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | READY TO FLY | 4.4% | 22.73 | 13 |
| 10 | 4 | DIAMOND PIXIU | 4.1% | 24.19 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | FAMILY FOLKS | 3.9% | 25.51 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | LITTLE THUNDER | 2.2% | 46.29 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | SIGHT HERO | 1.5% | 64.96 | 3 |
| 14 | 13 | VECTOR | 1.5% | 65.76 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 472
PLACE
1 11.5
3 79
10 123
QUINELLA
1,3 291
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 140.5
1,10 156
3,10 1,956
FORECAST
3,1 1,101
TIERCE
3,1,10 29,366
TRIO
1,3,10 4,621
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 4,788
QUARTET
3,1,10,2 263,025
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
12/1 32
12/3 1,909.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 53.5
A1 —