沙田 · 2020-12-20
第 2場
2020-12-20沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、C S Shum訓練的DAILY CHARM勝出，贏出2。TAILOR MADE獲得亞軍；YES WE CAN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門YES WE CAN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DAILY CHARM 後段發力 B/TT 1.36.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 3 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | TAILOR MADE 後段發力 B- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | YES WE CAN 後段發力 H1/TT J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 7 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SMART THINKER 後段發力 TT C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 12 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | DRAGON COMMANDER 後段發力 B T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 14 | 62.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | FAIRY FLOSS H V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | AMAZING AGILITY SR/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 11 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | ROCKET HAMMER B- H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 1 | 254.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | CENTENARY IBIS 早段領放 B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 67.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS 後段發力 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 13 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN H K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 4 | 52.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | SANGRIA B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 5 | 34.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 8 | JOY MASTER V/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 9 | 18.0 | 7 |
| — | 0 | REGENCY GEM Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YES WE CAN | 27.6% | 3.63 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | SMART THINKER | 14.6% | 6.83 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 12.2% | 8.18 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 6.3% | 15.83 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | JOY MASTER | 5.5% | 18.25 | 14 |
| 6 | 9 | TAILOR MADE | 5.4% | 18.47 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | DAILY CHARM | 5.2% | 19.28 | 1 |
| 8 | 14 | FAIRY FLOSS | 4.7% | 21.25 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 4.5% | 22.36 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | AMAZING AGILITY | 4.1% | 24.66 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 3.8% | 26.29 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | CENTENARY IBIS | 3.3% | 30.29 | 10 |
| 13 | 4 | SANGRIA | 1.8% | 54.66 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | ROCKET HAMMER | 1.0% | 98.46 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 88
PLACE
5 13.5
9 35
12 27
QUINELLA
9,12 487.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 78.5
5,12 62.5
9,12 165
FORECAST
12,9 1,171
TIERCE
12,9,5 4,135
TRIO
5,9,12 535
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 913
QUARTET
12,9,5,3 27,100
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/9 103.5
5/12 638
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 26
A1 —