沙田 · 2020-12-20
第 7場
2020-12-20沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的ALL FOR SOUTH勝出，贏出3/4。BIZ POWER獲得亞軍；SUPER ALLIANCES獲得季軍。4.7倍大熱門SUPER POWER MAN跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ALL FOR SOUTH B 1.09.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 10 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | BIZ POWER B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 5.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | SUPER ALLIANCES P M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 11 | 6.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 7 | 5.5 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER POWER MAN C Soumillon · K L Man | C Soumillon | K L Man | 12 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | HONGKONG GREAT B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 9.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | SUNSHINE SUPREME H1 K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 3 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | LUMEN BABA CP-/SR-/XB- M F Poon · D J Whyte | M F Poon | D J Whyte | 2 | 86.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | UNIVERSAL HERO B1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 136.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | FLASHCARD B/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 8 | 170.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | ENSHRINED B/H/TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 6 | 15.0 | 23 |
| — | 0 | FOODIE PRINCESS · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ALL FOR SOUTH | 26.3% | 3.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | KEEP YOU WARM | 17.8% | 5.60 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | BIZ POWER | 12.7% | 7.89 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPER POWER MAN | 10.4% | 9.58 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | HONGKONG GREAT | 9.5% | 10.49 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 6.5% | 15.49 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | SUNSHINE SUPREME | 5.4% | 18.66 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | ENSHRINED | 5.2% | 19.16 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 2.6% | 38.26 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | FLASHCARD | 1.5% | 65.51 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | LUMEN BABA | 1.3% | 79.78 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | UNIVERSAL HERO | 0.8% | 123.34 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 53
PLACE
4 19.5
6 18
8 21.5
QUINELLA
4,6 151.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 57.5
4,8 61.5
6,8 66.5
FORECAST
4,6 439
TIERCE
4,6,8 1,563
TRIO
4,6,8 271
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 344
QUARTET
4,6,8,7 7,133
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,11/4,6,8 8,422
3 PICK 1
A1 34.5
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
11/4 139
11/6 64.5