Happy Valley · 2021-01-20
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA Closed strongly B/TT 2.16.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Soumillon · Y S Tsui | C Soumillon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 6.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | NUREMBERG Led early B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 3 | 21.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 8.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GENERAL DINO Closed strongly B- C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 2 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHINEALOT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 9 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY Closed strongly H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 10 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAY RUN XB K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING Closed strongly B/H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 18.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE SR-/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 5.2 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | JOY N FUN LEGEND Closed strongly CP/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 11 | 79.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | STAR WIN CP-/B1 J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 6 | 15.0 | 17-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-20 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. PRETTY BAUHINIA, ridden by C Soumillon and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with NUREMBERG second and SKY GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite SHINEALOT finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 25.0% | 3.99 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR WIN | 13.5% | 7.39 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 10.4% | 9.59 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE | 10.3% | 9.73 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | SKY GEM | 7.6% | 13.24 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | GENERAL DINO | 7.5% | 13.26 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | NUREMBERG | 7.5% | 13.35 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 4.7% | 21.13 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 4.6% | 21.75 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | HAY RUN | 4.1% | 24.38 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 2.9% | 34.95 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 1.8% | 54.49 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 68
PLACE
2 25
3 25.5
4 72.5
QUINELLA
2,4 769
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 113.5
2,4 204.5
3,4 301.5
FORECAST
2,4 1,526
TIERCE
2,4,3 9,865
TRIO
2,3,4 2,134
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 3,009
QUARTET
2,4,3,7 67,572
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 25.5