Happy Valley · 2021-01-20
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT Closed strongly 1.39.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNNY STAR Closed strongly M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | NABOO STAR Closed strongly V/TT C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 11 | 7.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARITY FUN Closed strongly TT1 K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 10 | 76.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI Closed strongly B C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 8 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHATER PINS XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SUNNY LAD Led early B/H/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 7 | 49.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LEWIS B/XB/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 9 | 43.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER CP/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 1 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-20 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WEALTHY DELIGHT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with SUNNY STAR second and NABOO STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 26.1% | 3.84 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 19.1% | 5.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | LEWIS | 13.3% | 7.53 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 11.7% | 8.54 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 7.7% | 12.92 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 5.0% | 19.86 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | SUNNY LAD | 4.2% | 23.93 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI | 3.1% | 32.11 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | CHARITY FUN | 3.0% | 33.16 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 2.8% | 35.10 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 2.3% | 44.41 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 1.6% | 62.26 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 36.5
PLACE
3 21.5
6 17.5
11 15
QUINELLA
6,11 85
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 65.5
3,11 66
6,11 36.5
FORECAST
11,6 213
TIERCE
11,6,3 1,023
TRIO
3,6,11 235
FIRST 4
3,5,6,11 2,778
QUARTET
11,6,3,5 48,037
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,11/3,6,11 8,772
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 18.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/6 10.5
7/11 81.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,5/2,7,11/3,6,11 52,698
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,5/2,7,11/Any Combination 517