Happy Valley · 2021-01-20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SCORES OF FUN, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with SPARKLING DRAGON second and STARZ HERO third. The 2.7 favourite IMA SINGLE MAN finished 12th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SCORES OF FUN TT 1.09.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | STARZ HERO B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 75.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 12 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MR LUMIERES B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 3 | 99.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | HARMONY N HOME Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 5.1 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | SEVEN HEAVENS V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 8 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | DIVINE REGULUS TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 5 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | THOU SHALL SING B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 10 | 47.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | LITTLE BIRD V K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 73.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | ARES J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 14.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN CP/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.7 | 30-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 23.6% | 4.23 | 12 |
| 2 | 9 | ARES | 18.6% | 5.37 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | SCORES OF FUN | 15.2% | 6.59 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | HARMONY N HOME | 12.8% | 7.84 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 7.4% | 13.43 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 7.3% | 13.71 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 5.5% | 18.09 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | THOU SHALL SING | 3.9% | 25.41 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | DIVINE REGULUS | 2.6% | 38.76 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | MR LUMIERES | 1.2% | 85.36 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.1% | 93.20 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | STARZ HERO | 0.8% | 128.21 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 55
PLACE
2 23.5
3 16.5
11 166
QUINELLA
2,3 209
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 62
2,11 793.5
3,11 453.5
FORECAST
3,2 509
TIERCE
3,2,11 24,322
TRIO
2,3,11 4,366
FIRST 4
2,3,4,11 10,417
QUARTET
3,2,11,4 241,872
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 18
7TH DOUBLE
11/2 73
11/3 219.5