Happy Valley · 2021-01-20
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. STOCK LEGEND, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with PRANCE DRAGON second and HAPPILY FRIENDS third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | STOCK LEGEND V-/H2/TT1 1.09.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 1 | 1.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | PRANCE DRAGON V/TT C Soumillon · T P Yung | C Soumillon | T P Yung | 7 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPILY FRIENDS C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 10 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR CP/H/XB T Piccone · D A Hayes | T Piccone | D A Hayes | 4 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | AMAZING BOY H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 117.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ORIENTAL AMIGO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 9.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | AFTER ME B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 11 | 78.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | COLONEL V Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 12 | 7.7 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | AUGUST MOON B1 V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 19.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 12.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | GARLIC HERO E1/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 27.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | OURGOLDENRULES XB/B1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 121.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | STOCK LEGEND | 48.3% | 2.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | COLONEL | 12.6% | 7.96 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 10.0% | 10.02 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 5.6% | 17.86 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | MAGIC SUPREME | 5.0% | 19.84 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | PRANCE DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.60 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | AUGUST MOON | 4.1% | 24.39 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 3.7% | 27.12 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | AFTER ME | 2.2% | 44.61 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | GARLIC HERO | 1.6% | 62.53 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | AMAZING BOY | 1.3% | 79.72 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | OURGOLDENRULES | 1.0% | 96.87 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 16
PLACE
2 39.5
7 13
11 44
QUINELLA
2,7 119.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 55
2,11 309.5
7,11 61.5
FORECAST
7,2 151
TIERCE
7,2,11 1,406
TRIO
2,7,11 622
FIRST 4
2,7,9,11 1,075
QUARTET
7,2,11,9 9,892
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
3/2 89.5
3/7 83.5