Happy Valley · 2021-02-03
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-03 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. DYNAMIC EAGLE, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/2, with EXALTATION second and CROWN AVENUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite EXALTATION finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly 2.17.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | EXALTATION Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | CROWN AVENUE V Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 5 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly B-/TT- V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 11 | 8.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 2 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | PRETTY BAUHINIA Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 9.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SKY GEM Closed strongly M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 12 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | PEACH BLOSSOMS Led early B/TT K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 1 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | HAY RUN XB/V1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 40.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | GREAT TIMES B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 9 | 78.0 | 22-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EXALTATION | 35.1% | 2.85 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 16.3% | 6.12 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | CROWN AVENUE | 11.3% | 8.83 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | SKY GEM | 6.2% | 16.05 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | HAY RUN | 5.8% | 17.21 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | MAGNETISM | 5.3% | 18.94 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 5.3% | 19.03 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 4.4% | 22.94 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | GOOD DAYS | 4.1% | 24.43 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | PEACH BLOSSOMS | 2.2% | 44.47 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | GREAT TIMES | 2.1% | 46.96 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | BULLISH GLORY | 1.8% | 56.06 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 78.5
PLACE
2 23.5
3 21
7 14
QUINELLA
2,7 119.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 65
2,7 44
3,7 49.5
FORECAST
2,7 285
TIERCE
2,7,3 1,302
TRIO
2,3,7 191
FIRST 4
2,3,5,7 537
QUARTET
2,7,3,5 11,587
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/2 226.5
2/7 16.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21.5