Happy Valley · 2021-02-03
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HERCULES B/XB/TT 1.10.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 4 | 5.8 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 1 | 7.6 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | VIVA CHEF B A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 2 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 8 | 8.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CASA KINGDOM XB B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 49.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE CARRIER B1/TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 3.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GRACYLOVE C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 10 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | TELECOM PUMA TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 6.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | INFINITE POWER V C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 57.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FOREVER CITY H1 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 65.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 30.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HERCULES, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with SUPERB DADDY second and VIVA CHEF third. The 3.5 favourite FORTUNE CARRIER finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HERCULES | 20.6% | 4.84 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TELECOM PUMA | 11.1% | 9.03 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 10.7% | 9.34 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 10.3% | 9.72 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA CHEF | 8.9% | 11.27 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 8.5% | 11.76 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS | 8.5% | 11.83 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 5.7% | 17.63 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | GRACYLOVE | 5.2% | 19.06 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | INFINITE POWER | 4.7% | 21.41 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | FOREVER CITY | 3.1% | 31.97 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | CASA KINGDOM | 2.7% | 36.52 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 58
PLACE
2 19.5
6 26.5
11 22.5
QUINELLA
2,6 305
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 91
2,11 87
6,11 75.5
FORECAST
2,6 532
TIERCE
2,6,11 3,797
TRIO
2,6,11 488
FIRST 4
2,6,9,11 771
QUARTET
2,6,11,9 18,450
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 26.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 376
2/6 147.5