Happy Valley · 2021-02-03
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-03 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TRIPLE TRIPLE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with INNER FLAME second and AURORA PEGASUS third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP 1.09.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | INNER FLAME XB/B1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | AURORA PEGASUS TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 9.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | ALCARI V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | WINSTON'S LAD B K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 12 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | MIG ENERGY XB/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.8 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | BALTIC WHISPER B2/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 6 | 98.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | HARRIER JET B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 7.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | JOYFUL UNION CP Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 4.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PRINCE OF BON BON B- B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 2 | 152.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | HALL OF CHAMP B H W Lai · D J Hall | H W Lai | D J Hall | 7 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | METRO WARRIOR B N Callan · D A Hayes | N Callan | D A Hayes | 10 | 13.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SUNSHINE SUPREME C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 18.6% | 5.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | MIG ENERGY | 18.1% | 5.52 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | AURORA PEGASUS | 18.1% | 5.53 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | JOYFUL UNION | 8.1% | 12.40 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | HALL OF CHAMP | 7.2% | 13.90 | 11 |
| 6 | 1 | INNER FLAME | 6.5% | 15.32 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | HARRIER JET | 6.2% | 16.05 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | METRO WARRIOR | 6.2% | 16.25 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | ALCARI | 4.9% | 20.40 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | WINSTON'S LAD | 4.5% | 22.35 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | BALTIC WHISPER | 1.2% | 86.55 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 0.5% | 186.52 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 34
PLACE
1 35
8 33.5
11 15.5
QUINELLA
1,11 235
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 200
1,11 92
8,11 76.5
FORECAST
11,1 469
TIERCE
11,1,8 4,440
TRIO
1,8,11 905
FIRST 4
1,4,8,11 2,144
QUARTET
11,1,8,4 35,854
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/1 53.5
7/11 92